Now that there is more form I started betting today .
Good- ish start . bet the Derby winner .Was between Flintshire and Pether's Moon and chose Flintshire ! Aaargh !
One from two but only a small profit .
Another Saturday - another bet on the horses.After last week's wrong choice between two possibilities I decided to choose 2 -or 3 - in the same race. Bet 12 altogether 2 races with 3 and 3 races with 2 . 4 winners . Fortunately, the prices were pretty good so had 8.25 points profit. So being " Chicken " sometimes pays off.
Winners were Basem -Waady - Twilight Son - Red Baron.
I know it is silly to back three horses in the same race when you don't know the prices but I'll give it one more chance. If I lose I'll revert to betting my own picks. So here goes :
2.00 -waady - mecca's angel - salt island
2.35 - basem - jacob black - sahaafy
3.10 - black cherry - jellicle ball
2.15 - lady tiana - miss marjurie - jordan princess
2.50 - penhill - battersea.
My own picks in these races are :
2.00 - mecca's angel
2.35 - barye - basem
3.10 - black cherry - hundi
2.15 - miss marjurie
2.50 - watersmeet - elbereth
No luck needed of course !
Clever Dick me left out two of Timeform's picks - and one of them won at 10 /1 !
I still think money could be made from this if you stood in the Bookie's for all the races. Not for me though.
What MIGHT work for me though is betting ALL 3 of Timeform's picks in each race MINUS my own selections !
Roll on next Saturday !
Here we go ! Here we go ! Here we go -o !
Bets for today.
2-10 - Gamesome - Double Up
2-45 -Lightning Spear - Toormoor - Arod
3-25- Mount Logan
3-10 -Bronze Angel -Ayaar
3-45 - Muhaarar - Brazen Beau.
2-10 - Double UP
2-45 -Lightning Spear
3--25 - Collaboration
3-10 - Unforgiving Minute
3-45 -Anthem Alexander.
p.s. There is a saying that " gambling is a Mug's Game " . Is it true ?
Bets for today.
MARKET RASEN 3-30
Pumped Up Kicks
My bets for today.
2.15 Newm. - Arabian Comet - £20 @ 9/4 (unplaced @ 11/4) (£20 loss)
2.20 Mkt Ras. - Sea Lord - £10 @ 4/1 (wins @ 3/1jf) Vivante Poeme - £10 @ 7/2 (2nd @ 3/1jf) PLUS £1.25 r/f/c. Forecast pays £13.65 so returns £17.01 plus £50, so £67.01 in total for £22.50 bet. (£44.51 profit)
3.30 Mkt Ras. - Pumped Up Kicks - £10 @ 6/1 and Lost Legend - £5 e/w @ 16/1. (Both unplaced) PLUS 50p r/f/c (£21.00 Loss)
4.35 Newmkt. - Aranka - £20 @ 3/1 (B.O.G) (unplaced @ 11/4f) (£20.00 loss)
Loss for day = £16.49
11 x £1 = £11 bet Return 1 winner at 7/2 - LOSS of £ £6.50 !
I still think the use of Timeform can still be profitable if eliminating some of their picks. For example, as I have said before I don't bet horses over the jumps but I bet 3 today - and lost £3 unnecessarily. On the other hand I did not bet one of their races because of a small field and so avoided another £ 3 loss .
If I was in the bookies at the time of the actual races I would not bet any that had a price lower than 4/1 because betting 2 or 3 horses in the same race needs odds of over 2/1 to show a profit and we need EXCESS odds to pay for the losers .
Eliminating some of their picks is the obvious answer but WHICH to eliminate ?
btw Steve I don't bet e.w.. I would rather bet 2 in the same race to increase the chances of backing a winner .Betting for a place is for pussycats !!!