NBA PLAYOFFS (42-22-1, +17.26u) 2010.05.05 results recap:
San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns -2.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (110-102: WIN)
San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Over 205.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (110-102: WIN)
NBA 2010.05.05 finished 2-0, +1.9 units won/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 392-286-9, +72.75 units won (678 units risked) New Season High!
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (42-22-1, +17.26u) 2010.05.06 only pick:
Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic
Once again, the Magics will host the Hawks. In the first match, the Magics were able to get a blowout win. They won last game 114-71, while their biggest lead during the game was by 46 points. This show how big his the gap between these teams. If in the first quarter the Hawks were able keep the result close, they only were able to repeat it in the last quarter, when the Magics granted their win and made same changes. The Magics didn't like how the first quarter ran, with only 2 points lead in the end of it. So, they woke up and for the rest of the game with a great defense and offense.
After the first quarter, when they were leading by 2, they went to the halftime with 20 points lead, allowing only 10 points in the second quarter. The differences between both teams are evident, and for those who thinks that the Hawks will be able tonight to fight back, just remember that the Magics didn't played any game for fun this season. Even with their playoff spot granted, while other teams were resting players, the Magics played with their best. Even against a team like Bobcats in the playoffs, where they could be more generous and give up one game, they gived 4-0. So, nobody should expect the Magics to rest and get a lower pace, every good win is like a tonic for them, they will be able to do it better in the next game.
The Hawks have huge problems in the paint, allowing 56 points while scoring only 36. There is no way for the Hawks be able to hold Howard, and that will be always an edge for the Magics. In the paint, only a miracle day could give advantage for the Hawks. Another big problem, is their offense, While they have huge problems defending in Orlando, they have also big problems in offense, with 10 points in second quarter and 11 points in the third quarter. With so much problems, it's normal to made more faults than suffering, giving again another edge for the Magics.
It's hard to see another result than another blowout win for the Magics. They have the edge everywhere. Almost the double of the point in the paint (as long as the rebounds), better offense and defense. And if it's enough, they have also the moral edge, as the Magics now that they are able to win by many, and will try to do it. The Hawks already in Milwaukee huge problems playing on the road. And if it happened in Milwaukee, when they lost by 18 and 7 points both game... In Orlando will be worst for sure.
Pick: Orlando Magic -9.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
* One unit each always.
NBA PLAYOFFS (43-22-1, +18.21u) 2010.05.06 results recap:
Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic: Orlando Magic -9.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (112-98: WIN)
NBA 2010.05.06 finished 1-0 and +0.95 units won/1 unit risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 393-286-9 (57,879%), +73.7 units won (679 units risked) New Season High!
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (43-22-1 (66.15%), +18.21u) 2010.05.07 first 3 picks: *
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics PK -110 (1.91) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 193 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: Under 206 -110 (1.91) 5Dimes, BetUS
* One unit each always. Dunno if will take any side on the late game.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics
If there were any questions, it would be more probable a 2-0 for the Celtics than for the Cavaliers. It seems that will happen the same from last season: the Cavs being a big contenders, with high expectations, but unable to reach the title. We should give the credits that the Celtics deserve. If in game one, they allowed a good bounce back when they were winning by more than 10 points, in the second game they didn't accept any appeal from the Cavs and won by 18 points.
At this point, the Cavs already lost the home advantage, something that they needed an entire regular season to achieve. With some lack of team work and chemistry, specially due to a bad coaching in the final part of the regular season, the team isn't producing as much as they can. That 2 weeks they played without their best players, losing the mechanism that they acquired during months, are taking an huge cost. Cleveland needs to improve, a lot, or at least a streak of a really bad days from the Celtics, to get to the conference finals. The Cavaliers are struggling a lot, with lots of problem to overtake the Celtics defense. If there wasn't LeBron, the team weren't able to win the first game. With a poor offense, without dominating the rebounds and with less 3 points made, the team even with the big edge in the free throws, are having big problems.
The Celtics will only lost home games against the Cavaliers when the Cavs start to play at their best or when the Celtics will have a bad day. At this point, there is no way to see the Cavs going to win at Boston, even with the odds making the Cavs the favorites. The Celtics are dominating in the paint, as they are much more aggressive, and are making a great defensive games. They have the edge there, and with several good offensive players as well, have the edge against the Cavaliers. About LeBron, they are making lots of faults on them to try to stop him, as he his the only Cavaliers players that the Celtics have difficulties to stop. But they can deal with it well if they can stop the rest of the team as they did in the last games.
Picks: Boston Celtics PK -110 (1.91) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix & Under 193 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 393-288-9, +71.7 units won (681 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (43-24-2, +16.21u) 2010.05.08 first 2 picks: *
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Orlando Magic -2.5 -105 (1.95) The Greek
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 194.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) The Greek
* One unit each always. Dunno if will have anything on the late game.
NBA PLAYOFFS (43-24-2, +16.21u) 2010.05.07 results recap:
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics PK -110 (1.91) 5Dimes (95-124: LOSS)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 193 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (95-124: LOSS)
Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: Under 206 -110 (1.91) 5Dimes (96-110: PUSH/VOID)
NBA 2010.05.07 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 393-288-9, +71.7 units won (681 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (43-24-2, +16.21u) 2010.05.08 last pick: *
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
* One unit each always.
NBA PLAYOFFS (45-25-2, +17.11u) 2010.05.08 results recap:
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Orlando Magic -2.5 -105 (1.95) The Greek (75-105: WIN)
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 194.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (75-105: WIN)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (110-111: LOSS)
NBA 2010.05.08 finished 2-1 and +0.9 units won/3 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 395-289-9, +72.6 units won (684 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (45-25-2, +17.11u) 2010.05.09 first 2 picks: *
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 197 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
* One unit each always. Dunno if will have anything else on NBA for today.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics
In the last game, the Boston were crushed at home. That crush started really early, making no sense for any under bet as both teams were just scoring and without any defense implementation. With a win by 29 points, where most of the difference was gain during the first quarter, the Cavs ended with a superb accuracy, and didn't had even to force any defense, as it wasn't necessary for the win. The key was aggressiveness from the Cavs, with a big entrance in the game, where they finish the first quarter with a 19 point lead.
Even without a high pace, both team were able to easily score, as the Cavs only wanted to increase the gap, taking the edge due to a bad defense and moral from the Celtics that seemed to accept the defeat only with a few minutes in the game. Even the Celtics had enough space to score their points, as they never had a big run and weren't able to stop the Cavs. With this, the Cavs didn't tried to stop the Celtics, as they never had their win at risk.
Today, it's unlikely to have another game like the last one. Big speeches have been heard by the Celtics, as they played the game with no ambition, like a regular season game, where they accepted the defeat to early. No champion can have this kind of mind. They can't allow the Cavs to play as they want, and need to be cohesive in defense, as they were in the first games in Cleveland.
The Celtics need to use their edge in the paint and even more, need to be aggressive in the defense. They can stop the Cavs team, unless LeBron, but if they shutdown the rest of the team they can fight for the win. The Cavs finally had a game that can give them a great boost and the return for their best shape. They were with a lack of mental confidence and chemistry lately, had big problems at home against the Celtics, winning one game with a bounce back and having a defeat in the another.
Today, the Cavs will probably enter the game less aggressive than the last game, as they already recover the lead in the series. A typical playoff game seems probable, with both teams with lots of cautions, weighted attacks, and big attentions in defense. It's unlikely to see one team gain early a big lead, so both team will play with defense.
Pick: Under 197 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
NBA PLAYOFFS (46-26-2, +17.02u) 2010.05.10 final 2 picks: *
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 192 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -3 -110 (1.91) The Greek
* One unit each always.
NBA PLAYOFFS (46-26-2, +17.02u) 2010.05.09 results recap:
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 197 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (97-87: WIN)
Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (101-107: LOSS)
NBA 2010.05.09 finished 1-1 and -0.09 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 396-290-9, +72.51 units won (686 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (47-27-2, +16.97u) 2010.05.11 first pick: *
Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Today we will have match 5 between the Celtics and the Cavaliers. In the previous 4 matches, we had 2 overs and 2 unders. It seems balanced?
No, only the unders were the kind of games as we should expect and easy bets. The first over, was due to a bounce back, and was lost by few points. In that game, the Cavs had a great third quarter with lots of points in their bounce back, in order to grant the win.
The other over was an abnormal game. There is no chance to see another game as that one, even thinking that the bookies are giving a big spread for the Cavs.
What happened in that game, was that since the first quarter, the Cavs were winning by 20 points, giving them an early win, where they just had to manage the game, with a good offense and without bother with defense. The Celtics were always behind the game, even scoring almost 100 points, had a big loss. It wasn't the typical playoff game, and between these 2 teams in playoffs, probably just happen once in a 100 games.
With the series tie, the Celtics will try to make an early lead as they did in the first two games in Cleveland. They were able to surprise the Cavs with a strong power in the paint. As they saw in the last game, their biggest chances is with a big defense, and the Celtics are the kind of team that can easily defend, due to big and experience players. At the road, they always try to use it, and in the playoffs, the defense have a special role. They will have to give the game a low pace, try to hold LeBron somehow, even with free throws, as he is the only player that the Celtics aren't able to stop.
The rest of the team, Doc Rivers can mount the team in the best way to stop the Cavs, holding them without spaces to shot. At Cleveland, there isn't much space to errors for the Celtics, if they want to win. They already won one game at Cleveland, knowing that a good defense is the key. In both games they won this series, they hold the Cavs for 86 and 87 points in each game, curiously both unders in this series.
The Cavs needed a great LeBron to win first game, and an absolutely aggressive mode to win the first game at Boston. However, the team can keep the same performance twice in a row, as the Celtics rapidly adjust to the Cavs game. The Cavs need to be smarter, find more faster a way to overcome Boston Celtics. At home, their defense is strong, and knowing that they will have big problems with the Celtics defense, it's vital to have a good defense as well.
This series is arriving to a determination part, where a mistake can ruin everything. At this point, Rondo it's a huge problem to the Cavaliers, and they will have to adjust a better defense, as they have to stop win without removing any defense to any other player of the Big Three. This game will be very tactical, where a bad read of the game, a late timeout or a bad 2 minutes for one player can throw all the season away.
Pick: Under 194.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek
* One unit each always.
NBA PLAYOFFS (47-27-2, +16.97u) 2010.05.10 results recap:
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 192 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (84-98: WIN)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -3 -110 (1.91) The Greek (96-111: LOSS)
NBA 2010.05.10 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 397-291-9, +72.46 units won (688 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (47-28-2, +15.97u) 2010.05.11 results recap:
Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Under 194.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (88-120: LOSS)
NBA 2010.05.11 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 397-292-9, +71.46 units won (689 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
NBA PLAYOFFS (47-28-2, +15.97u) 2010.05.13 first pick: *
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics
Boston will host today the Cavs thinking that today they have a gold opportunity to end this series and go through it. If they won tonight, they will play the conference finals against the Orlando Magics. However, if they lose today, they will have to play a game 7 on the road, This series are being extremely balanced, with both teams alternating wins until the last 2 games, where the Celtics were able to snap 2 wins in a row. In 3 home games, the Cavs lost 2, mostly due to a bad defense and low power in the paint. However, they were able to win 1 of 2 road games, having tonight the chance to won the 2 in 3 games and make the tie.
Boston Celtics didn't made a good regular season, at least, not as good as every one expected. However, they easily passed the Heats in 5 games, and are in the eminence of knock out the contenders to the title Cleveland Cavaliers. In their 3 wins, they were able to hold the Cavs to less than 70 shots, and overcame the Cavs in the rebounds as well. In the middle of their wins, that had a blow out loss at home, just the same that happened in he last game, where they were dogs by +7.5 points but won by almost 40 points. Once again, they had a terrific defense and hold the Cavs for less than 70 shots.
In that games we can also highlight their offense, that is able to score with a great accuracy, including the six 3 points made by Allen last game. In their last home game, they were able to win by 10 points, with a low pace game, holding the Cavs for even less shots than the last game at Cleveland. This hard defense started after the Cavs gave them a blowout loss in the first game at Boston. Tonight, the Celtics are aware that they will meet the Cavs they faced in that first game at Boston, aggressive, and will have to make their best defensive performance in this season to hold the Cavs and try to finish this series tonight.
The Cavs have the talent to do a better figure. With a 3 shots made in 14 attempts, Lebron had made one of their worst playoff games ever, leaving his team "to death". Even with a poor performance, several of the Cavs players had a barely decent performances, such as Shaq that ended with 21 points. After their won in the first game in this series, where they were able to end the game with the same rebound of the Celtics, the lost the second game at home. It was in that point, with a 1-1 tie in the series, that they went to Boston. They knew that only one win in any of those two games can give them the home advantage again, and so, they entered the first game with "fire in their ass".
They had made the right approach to the game, being extremely aggressive, overcoming the Celtics defense and being better in the rebounds for the only time in this series. They have a great offensive power, after all, they got LeBron James in their roster. They just have to be aggressive, facing the game with their angry as they did in the last time they went to Boston needing to win. Their apathy in their last game at home, that cost them the game and left the team in disadvantage, can only be fixed with a win today. Today, the Cavs or win or will end the season.
Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers ML +105 (2.05) Bookmaker
* One unit each always. I'll look later on the total, because I'm leaning right now on the Under, but I want to handicap it thoroughly before taking a position on this market.
NBA PLAYOFFS (47-28-2, +15.97u) 2010.05.13 last pick: *
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 194.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek
* One unit each always.
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