IMO they should pay out in full given that they accepted the bet. Each of their bets should be checked by someone in the first place to make sure the events are independent. I don't think you could get any stats that will support the notion that there is no relation between a player being highest goal-scorer and his team winning the league, because there clearly is a relation.
I don't know what chance there is of you getting any kind of decision going you way. But what I think should be done is to look at how many of the top scorers have come from the winning team from the past 14 seasons (all the seasons when they've had 24 teams in the league) except for this season, so 13 in total. You could then work out a rough probability that the best striker would be the overall league highest scorer given that his team win the league. So if it's 3/13 seasons then your second bet should be given odds of 10-3, if it's 4/13 seasons you get odds of 9-4, and so on. And even then you're losing a bit of value because the probability of Ebanks-Blake being the top scorer given that the top scorer is a Wolves player is less than 1 (but still very high).



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