Suggestion of 1.20 on the Golf today - what do you think?

[arie1985]

Okay, I'm really not familiar so much with Golf so I'd like to ask for your opinion about this.

Today is the last day of the 136th Championship and the leader right now is Sergio Garcia.

What do you think about betting on Garcia to finish in one of the first 3 places (doesn't matter which) for odds of 1.20?

Do you see it a banker or as a risk?

Thanks

[arshad5555]

hello aries.
do u know when this tournment will be ended?
thanks

[arie1985]

Originally Posted by arshad5555

hello aries.
do u know when this tournment will be ended?
thanks

I think around 16:00 GMT and I think I'm going to drop this bet because it's a E/W bet (=each way) and it doesn't worth it

[jjh]

Well he finished 2nd so now it looked like a value bet, but easy to say with the benefit of hindsight

I'm not a golf expert, but it all depends on whether the 1.12 (not 1.20- 1/5 of the odds of 1.60 is 1.12) would be value.

In the past, how many players in the lead on the last day have managed to mess up so badly that they finished out of the top 3? Without the previous years stats, I'd say the bet looks risky at 1.12, but can't say for sure.

[jjh]

BTW Arie, got a question for you

I posted a thread about in running a while back and came to the conclusion that big profits could be made on football matches if you could find games that you were sure at least 1 goal would be scored. So basically, we can't have the 0-0 score line.

Do you think you could confidently select matches were you felt it could never end without a goal? If so, there is an absolute fortune to be made in running

[hyperman]

If it was 1.20 to finish in the top 3 then i think it was value (hindsight I know is a wonderful thing), as he was 6 shots clear of 3rd at the start of the round.
But i don't think that was the bet - here you would be backing an 8/13 shot each-way - so although the place part is great - the fact that it is costing you a win stake means its not a great idea.

If its the place part you are after you want to be looking for a bookie that is offering that market, rather than backing each-way.

[arie1985]

Originally Posted by hyperman

If it was 1.20 to finish in the top 3 then i think it was value (hindsight I know is a wonderful thing), as he was 6 shots clear of 3rd at the start of the round.
But i don't think that was the bet - here you would be backing an 8/13 shot each-way - so although the place part is great - the fact that it is costing you a win stake means its not a great idea.

If its the place part you are after you want to be looking for a bookie that is offering that market, rather than backing each-way.

Exactly, that is why I dropped it

[arie1985]

Originally Posted by jjh

BTW Arie, got a question for you

I posted a thread about in running a while back and came to the conclusion that big profits could be made on football matches if you could find games that you were sure at least 1 goal would be scored. So basically, we can't have the 0-0 score line.

Do you think you could confidently select matches were you felt it could never end without a goal? If so, there is an absolute fortune to be made in running

Yeah, it's possible, the German game tomorrow Schalke and Nurnberg should have at least 1 goal for sure!

[jjh]

Originally Posted by hyperman

If it was 1.20 to finish in the top 3 then i think it was value (hindsight I know is a wonderful thing), as he was 6 shots clear of 3rd at the start of the round.
But i don't think that was the bet - here you would be backing an 8/13 shot each-way - so although the place part is great - the fact that it is costing you a win stake means its not a great idea.

If its the place part you are after you want to be looking for a bookie that is offering that market, rather than backing each-way.

Thanks for repeating my post I think it is only this forum where someone can post something then see someone completely disregard what has been posted only to make exactly the same point Kind of beats the point of it all...

[hyperman]

Originally Posted by hyperman

If it was 1.20 to finish in the top 3 then i think it was value (hindsight I know is a wonderful thing), as he was 6 shots clear of 3rd at the start of the round.
But i don't think that was the bet - here you would be backing an 8/13 shot each-way - so although the place part is great - the fact that it is costing you a win stake means its not a great idea.

If its the place part you are after you want to be looking for a bookie that is offering that market, rather than backing each-way.

jjh tell me which bit repeats your post? may be if you took the time to read past the first line of my post then you might not have been so dismissive and missed the point entirely