Do u know your odds?

[Thor2007]

There was a hand in the late night poker master final last night that got me thinking about this. It involved Luske and Simon Dumper Trumper. Trumper put Luske on an OESFD and thus folded top pair top kicker, which indeed would have been the right move if he had read Luske right, as he would have been a 3/2 dog at that point. This little exercise is slightly different in that one player has an overpair and not top pair but what do you think is favourite here after the flop? And by how much? NO POKERSTOVE PLEASE!!!!


Preflop

A A - 81.5%

K T - 19.5%

Flop

Q J 2


A A - ??

K T - ??

Firephil and Woody will have this calculated in 1.45 milliseconds

[Matty H]

I still think the aces are slight favourite postflop. 55/45???

[Matty H]

In answer to the question - No

I'm trying to calculate the number of outs for the KT against the number of cards left in the deck and what we know is already out and it makes me head cry, but I'll stick with my guess

[Raiser]

60/40 in fav of the OESFD

Edit... wow my radar is way off! slighly embarrassing! but i wont delete!

[PokerWoody]

Well id like either hand here personally. I dont' know the exact answer but I doubt there is much in it. KT as about 15 outs which makes it about even money or slightly ahead.

[trustme]

is this a proper coinflip, 50/50

[Thor2007]

Nice guesses from you four.

Matty got the ball rolling with a good estimate. Raiser a little further out lol and woody and trustme got it on the nose.

It's practically as close to a coin flip as possible. Aces only a fraction of a percent to the good.

[Matty H]

Nice guesses from you four.

Matty got the ball rolling with a good estimate. Raiser a little further out lol and woody and trustme got it on the nose.

It's practically as close to a coin flip as possible. Aces only a fraction of a percent to the good.

Cool. In that case my initial guess 55/45 to the aces was a typo and I meant 52/48

[Raiser]

well i screwed it up from the start and included the two aces already used in the other persons hand as live outs!! worrying, very worrying!

[Matty H]

ps: I'll get me coat