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Thread: odds

  1. #1
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    Default odds

    anyone know any good books on poker odds? I can do the basic 2/4, but i dont have a clue about implied odds etc.
    I am not the best Mathematician, but i can muddle my way through. but its something i really need to improve on.

  2. #2
    King Stato FirePhil's Avatar
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    There's a book that's about to be released at the end of the month called 'The Mathematics of Poker' by Bill Chen, should be an excellent book. You might have to import it via amazon or something though, it probably won't be released in the UK for a while.

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    Boo Rar DonkBox's Avatar
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    someone posted this the other day. might help.
    'I figured if I ever went broke at poker, it wouldn't be because my best wasn't good enough to keep me afloat. It'd be because my worst was bad enough to sink me.'

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    Insert Rank Name Here jglenny's Avatar
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    Maybe a stupid question but when playing live do you guys always take note of specific odds? I play odds in the way that i look at how good my hand is and is it worth calling etc but how many of you actually work it out proper while playing?

    Do you think that by going on odds alone you can make money in the low cash tables just due to poor play?
    Any time you aggressively play seven deuce off suit, the universe will bend the laws of short term probability in order to re-balance the long term probability abuses by those trashy players who only play premium hands

  5. #5
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    it comes down to drawing hands, is it worth calling the bet with the odds i have to make my hand. so just playing the odds will generaly get you through most low limit games. as to making money in the long run at higher stakes with tricky players????

    ask some poker bots

    You also have implied odd to work out the chances of you opponent having a certain hand. You combine that with any reads you have on them. Its just anouther way of getting a bit more info to define there hand
    Last edited by sixofone; 12th September 2006 at 04:03 PM.

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    King Stato FirePhil's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sixofone
    You also have implied odd to work out the chances of you opponent having a certain hand. You combine that with any reads you have on them. Its just anouther way of getting a bit more info to define there hand
    Implied odds have nothing to do with defining your opponents hand. Implied odds are about factoring in how much you figure to make on future betting rounds if you improve your hand, it is used in conjunction with pot odds when deciding whether to call a bet or raise.

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    ahh soz ur right.
    see i do need a book

    So which is it for calculating an opponents cards?

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    Quote Originally Posted by DonkBox
    someone posted this the other day. might help.
    ARGGGGHHHHH............. since high stakes poker series the phrase 'back door flush' has been driving me insane!! Who in their right friggin mind would chase one?????? ....actually dont answer that i know who you all are and i expect to be the first out as per usual tonight!
    Quote Originally Posted by alexross1977 View Post
    OMFG
    I AM A RETARD

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    Quote Originally Posted by askldfhj
    ARGGGGHHHHH............. since high stakes poker series the phrase 'back door flush' has been driving me insane!! Who in their right friggin mind would chase one?????? ....actually dont answer that i know who you all are and i expect to be the first out as per usual tonight!
    A backdoor flush draw gives you on average 20% more EV. I prefer the "double backdoor" though, a backdoor flush draw and 3 cards to a straight. That's practically the nuts.
    There is nothing which Fortune does not dare.
    -Seneca

    In interactive decision making – games -- you must consider what other people would do if you did something different from what you actually do.
    -Robert J. Aumann

    The great general is not he who makes fewest mistakes, but he who can best take advantage of the mistakes of his enemy.
    - Napoleon Bonaparte

  10. #10
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    In actual fact implied odds do apply slightly to your opponents hand once you consider re-draw potential. You have to consider the probability that you make the hand you're aiming for and its either not best or subsequently gets outdrawn and the amount you would lose if this happens. The most obvious case of this would be drawing to a flush against trips. A full house could easily beat your flush. To begin with you have to remove the outs to a flush you have that also pair the board, and then you have to subtract the chance that you both hit. This then gives you the chance that you'll win the hand.

    In general though, I think odds and statistics are THE MOST IMPORTANT part of No-limit hold-em play. This doesn't mean simply playing premium hands because they're statistically up preflop, but it means taking into account implied odds pre-flop, drawing odds, and the probability that your opponent didn't hit anything, then betting accordingly. When you apply statistics at such a fundamental level to your game, you'll find profitable poker becomes almost instinctive.

    In answer to the other question, I am constantly calculating things when I play live poker.

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