3 card poker strategy

[Flashman]

Ok, I've been testing this out and it seems to work.

On the 3 card poker game over at <snip> you can bet only on the "pairs plus" game, without betting on the actual hand.

I've been using a sort of Martingale system to play this. Now I know the Martingale system is crap for Roulette etc, but with the pairs plus game the payout is 1:1 for pairs, but goes up for better hands.

The maximum bet is £200 and you can start at 50, which means there's 9 bets inbetween. So long as you get at least a pair in those 9 bets you can't lose, but you can still win

I just won £350 when I got a straight on a £50 bet.

It does test the nerves a bit sticking £50 down after a losing streak, but winning a weeks wages certainly helps


Give it a try and see what you think! <snip>

3 card poker is in the "table games" section


Flash

[Flashman]

I've actually worked out some proper statistics for this now, would love to hear any opinions:

First of all the game, it's fairly simple. You are dealt 3 cards, if your hand is better than the dealers you win the Ante, plus you win a "pairs plus" bonus for any combination better than a pair. This bonus is as follows:

Straight Flush 40:1
3 of a kind 30:1
Straight 6:1
Flush 4:1
Pair 1:1

Now, the stats part is:

52P3 = 132,600 possible permutations of 3 cards

There are 900 possible winning hands per card worked out as such, using the Ace of Spades (Asp) as an example:

Card 1 Card 2 Card 3
Asp A other other = 150 possibilities
Asp other A other = 150 possibilities
A other Asp other = 150 possibilities
other Asp A other = 150 possibilities
other A other Asp = 150 possibilities
A other other Asp = 150 possibilities

That is "other" can be any one of 50 cards remaining in the pack, and A other can be any other of the 3 aces. So for each position of Asp there are 300 winning hands, and Asp can be in any of 3 positions.

Seeing as you can win from any pair of cards there are 900*52=46800 winning hands in the pack, meaning about 35% of draws will result in a winning hand (132600/46800=.353). So about 1 card in 3 will give you at least a pair, paying out at 1:1 (pretty good odds in casino terms anyway!)

Now, my strategy is to basically use the Martingale system on the pair plus bet. That is to double my bet after each loss. In this way, if you get a pair you win back everything you've bet plus the original stake on top, but if you get better than a pair, you win fairly big.

The way Martingale system normally falls down with games like Roulette is that you reach the house maximum before you win and can't continue doubling your bets.

The way the betting works at <snip> is a maximum of 200 chips, and going up in the following increments .50, 1, 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, 100, 200. So that gives you 9 bets before you reach the maximum.

I realise each draw is an independent event, so there's still a chance of getting 9 losing bets on the trot and hitting the maximum, but there's also the chance of getting a better hand, and winning back big.


I work these out to be a
.1% chance of a straight flush paying 40:1 (3*52=152 possible hands)
1.9% chance of 3 of a kind paying 30:1 (5*52=260 ph)
2.3% chance of a staight paying 6:1 (6*52=312 ph)
8% chance of a flush (21*52=1092 ph)

Giving you a 12.3% chance of getting ahead.

So, to summarise, there's a 35% chance of winning, including a 12% chance of getting ahead, and you have 9 chances to win at least your stake back.

So far I've won £350 like this, but I haven't really got the guts to play for big money.

Try out the game at <snip>

Would love to hear the opinion of anyone who has a better knowledge of stats than I do

thanks
Flash

[Raiser]

Thats a very intresting sales tecnique!!

But no iam not siging up!

[FirePhil]

If you genuinely want a valuable response don't post links to other sites in your 1st posts on a forum, it's just plain stupid.

If you're just a prick trying to advertise/make money as an affiliate then at least post something thats not complete crap.

[Maintop]

Flashman - wasnt he some tosser who didnt like Tom Brown?