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Thread: Daily Play - Full perm outlay vs returns

  1. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by blitzed View Post
    also on the main Pick Lottery Numbers page, look under Lottery Wheel Links in the main body of the page...the 2nd link there goes to an excellent wheel site, with Pick 7 Wheels in it's sidebar.
    Hi blitzed, thanks, I have lined up a number of RNG sites including your page, to be used in rotation for all my lotto games. As a die-hard player, I am playing all 12 lottery games a week!

    My Daily Play update
    The losing streak lasted for 8 consecutive days, with hits of just 3 or 4 numbers and no prizes. In the last two days of last week, I put up the daily investment to 24 lines and matched up to 5 numbers winning nearly £100. My overall winning percentage has gone up to 39% of my outlay.

    I did some calculations on my chances of winning based on a 14-number selection and playing 20 lines on those 14 numbers:

    - 1 in 259 chance of bagging the 7 winning numbers drawn; or once every 10 months or so of betting 6 days a week...

    - 1 in 172 chance of matching all 7 winning numbers with any of the 20 lines played IF I managed to bag the 7 numbers drawn in the 14-number selection.

    So I have to be lucky on two instances in a game to hit the top prize. Even if I don't match all 7 winning numbers when they fall into the selection, I will still win a good return on the lower-tier prizes.


  2. #12
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    Update
    Another week of unprofitable results with no decent wins.

    I have now played for 16 weeks (96 games); the last 56 games were played with the 14-number selection system (different random numbers each day), which I expect to match 4 or 3 numbers drawn most of the time.

    Here is the exact analysis of how many winning numbers were matched by the 14 numbers over the 56 games:

    Match 0 - 0 Game
    Match 1 - 2 Games (3.6%)
    Match 2 - 9 Games (16.1%)
    Match 3 - 16 Games (28.6%)
    Match 4 - 14 Games (25.0%)
    Match 5 - 12 Games (21.4%)
    Match 6 - 2 Games (3.6%)
    Match 7 - 1 Game (1.8%)

    Matching 6 or 7 numbers did not result in top prizes because they happened on days when I covered the 14 numbers with very few lines. I have now worked out that a minimum cover should consist of 20 lines on the 14 numbers and 4 lines on the other 13 numbers.

    Win rate so far is 38.3% of outlay over 96 games.

    Got to win some big prizes soon...

  3. #13
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    After 18 weeks with 108 games played, I still haven't hit a match-6 win.

    Although I did catch 6 winning numbers in my 14-number selection once last week, they did not land on the right positions in my spectrum of numbers. I could look for wheels that guarantee 4 if 4 or 5 if 5 etc. for the 14 numbers, but I may end up with just one winning line. I play an unbalanced wheel where I win nothing or multiple lines of something.

    I also changed to another random number generator last Monday; the one recommended by blitzed above. Using the 7/27 Full Spectrum Picks for Daily Play and similar picks for my other lotto games. The win results for Daily Play were much improved compared to the previous week:

    week from 20-Sept:
    Match 6 (x1)
    Match 5 (x3)
    Match 4 (x1)
    Match 3 (x1)

    week from 13-Sept:
    Match 6 (x0)
    Match 5 (x1)
    Match 4 (x1)
    Match 3 (x2)
    Match 2 (x2)

    Overall, my return stays at 39.8%. This game is a lot more difficult to win than I anticipated.

    My personal game-match statistics for the last 68 games, where I consistently played a different 14-number selection each day:

    Name:  DPlay(250910)R.jpg
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    I did not win the top prizes for those four match-6 and 7, because the numbers landed on the wrong positions in my wheel.

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