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Thread: Mathematics or human personality - both are vital

  1. #1
    Rank: Player jamescovert's Avatar
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    Default Mathematics or human personality - both are vital

    Here is my question to you

    In online gambling, we face a variety of games regardless of choice with each having their own offsets and markers against us, be it house advantage or odds over capital, we face an enemy of great proportion.

    So then, which is more important mathematics or human personality ?

    Mathematics

    Mathematics can help us build models and repetitions through mass amounts of data and statistics, these can lead to patterns, reverse actions and systems that can favour the player.

    Complex but very useful

    Human Personality

    It's ok having a genius system or a fool proof plan that can work in the short term, but a casino has you by the balls from your own admissions. Is this not were the casino truly wins, they know the personality of the gambler, they know our reckless behaviour, our intentions upon chance and the fact that we'll do anything to win, including lose.

    If you can't control yourself in the casino, what good is the perfect system. This i believe is the way forward, maths will control the game but you must control yourself.

    I ask again - which is more important ?
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    Rank: Player Spot's Avatar
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    I would have to say your own actions and personality is more important.

    The mathematics are constant and beyond our control but our personality is a variable factor.

    I believe in lucky and losing streaks; when it happens, you'll know it but the big problem is knowing when the streak will end. Controlling yourself in the casino is all good but I have seen a few players in card games like blackjack and 3-card poker walked away from a "hot" box just because they've achieved their winning targets, only to see their good hands gone to the next player.

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    Rank: Member 2_cups_short's Avatar
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    I totally agree that the maths is a constant. It can be understood and to some level, capitalized on with the right system.

    Personality is a much more important factor though. Unlike Spot I don't believe in lucky streaks etc, that's just probabilities at work again. Self control is the number one factor. Keep it and you have a much better chance of succeeding, lose it and the casino wins almost every time.

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    Rank: Player Spot's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2_cups_short View Post
    Personality is a much more important factor though. Unlike Spot I don't believe in lucky streaks etc, that's just probabilities at work again. Self control is the number one factor. Keep it and you have a much better chance of succeeding, lose it and the casino wins almost every time.
    I trust the laws of probability more than luck; but every so often, the outcome of a series of game defies the probability of statistics so inexplicably that I have to accept some alternative explanations, even if there is no reason to.

    Probabilities and statistics work better when applied to a big samples and over a long period of time.

    Here is my view on lucky streak or the lack of: if I have experienced a series of bad hands, a long run of no-wins or have observed the dealer having an odd-defying run of good or bad cards, then in order to maintain the laws of probabilities and statistic, there surely have to be a series of opposing outcomes in the games, assuming all other conditions remain the same.

    I guess if a player has sufficient funds to keep betting, he might just be able to capitalize on the theory, but that's not what happens in reality.


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    Rank: Player jamescovert's Avatar
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    It goes back to the vital edge that the casino has, ok, each game is set off with an advantage, meaning that over a full cycle of events, win or lose, player takes or not, the casino is taking money in, be it that 2.6 percent - 4.7 percent that makes each game belong to the casino.

    However, back to personality, the casino has the edge in knowing that most gambling personalities are doing so for the tendancy of wanting more, going for more, reaching for the next level, the higher dollar, the bigger bet, the larger wager, the even bigger stake, the mighty reward, if only.

    Its through reaching for this higher levels, that we hand our testicles to the casino on a plate, because our gambling notion tells us something we want to believe, what if, just what if, and often, this never happens.

    If you can learn to control percentages, what you play with, for how long and certainly what happened last time.

    Then i'm sure you'll do better than the reckless cowboy on the other side of the casino, or somewhere else in cyberspace.

    THIS IS INTERESTING.

    Do we have any behavioural analysis folks in the house
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