Yeah I agree that every bet on a roulette table is
necessarily -EV. I did all these calculations here because I basically couldn't see where fergus lee's conclusion was coming from, so I went through his whole system and explained where the EV is in it as a whole.
I agree with his workings up to this bit,
Quote:
They thus each have a20/37 chance.The chance that they will each bet the winning number on any one spin is20/37 multiplied by 20/37 which is 400/1369 so will require them to bet no miore than ten numbers between them to tilt the odds in their favour.They soon suss that to have this Edge then when any of the four numbers
14/17/20/23 is the last winning number then they should only bet the numbers
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But WTF is all that about? Just makes no sense at all.